Recap of Pace/Pace Approach

Presented are Pace/Pace (RP/HP) plays and Closer plays, if any, with HP/LP spread - bias information included when horse has run well against.

Match-up Rating (MR) – rates the presence of edge and value as well as orderliness: 1 to 5, (1 very poor – 2 poor – 3 average – 4 good - 5 very good).


Aqueduct: 2/1/06

Race 1 - MR: 2

P/P: 1A (82/79; prior, class)=====PF Ranking 8-7-1A – order of finish 2B-8-5

Race 2 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred mdn.claimers – PASS

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (87/87; prior, 4-5 wide turns)-2 (87/86)=====PF Ranking 2-4-3

Race 4 - MR: 1 Terrible match up: 4 stale & many dropdowns – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (83/83)-5 (76/75; prior, mud)=====PF Ranking 3 (stale 14 mo.)-4-1-5

Race 6 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred mdn.spec.wts. – PASS

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (94/90)-1 (85/85)=====PF Ranking 3X-2-5

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (107/98)-2 (88/88)-5 (87/87; prior 107/107 on 89 bias)=====PF Ranking 2-5-8

Race 9 - MR: 2

P/P: 4 (67/66)-10 (65/64)=====PF Ranking 4-10-6-9 (good work tab + lasix for 1st-time starter 1)


Aqueduct: 1/29/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (99/95; prior, class)-4 (97/85)-5 (93/85; prior, class)-7 (81/80) =====PF Ranking 1-4-(5-7) – 1 Won $2.90, 1-5 Ex. $14.00, 1-5-4 Tri. $40.80

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (89/89)-5 (89/83)-4 (82/82)=====PF Ranking 3-4-6 – 3 Won $5.70, 3-4 Ex. $14.60, 1-3 D/D $9.40 - order of finish 3-4-2

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (82/82)-5 (77/77)-3 (78/72)=====PF Ranking 4-5-3 – 3 $4.30, 3-4 Ex. $11.20 - order of finish 3-4-2

Race 4 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (81/81; prior, fog)-8 (77/76)=====PF Ranking 10-8-6 – 6 Won $6.50, 3-3-6 Pick 3 $38.40 - order of finish 6-10-8

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (92/89)-1A (92/86)=====PF Ranking 9-1A-2 – 9 Won $6.60, 3-6-9 Pick 3 $54.00, 3-3-6-9 Pick 4 $106.50 - order of finish 9-2-1A

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (81/76; prior, fog)-6 (77/74)-11 (73/73 vs. 100 bias) =====PF Ranking 11-6-8-3 – order of finish 1-3-6

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (74/74; 3-back, wide, mud)-6 (70/70)-1A (79/69)=====PF Ranking 6-2-9 – 2 Won $3.50 - order of finish 2-7-9

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (94/94)-5 (91/89)-4 (91/89)=====PF Ranking 3-5-8

Closer: 8 vs. 222 pro-speed bias) – 5 $5.50, 5-8 Ex. $8.70 - order of finish 5-8-1

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (56/52; prior, slop)-3 (51/51)-7 (51/47)=====PF Ranking 8 (turf)-3-(1-7)-(4-10)

Closer: 1 vs. 211 pro-speed bias; HP/LP 23/64: 41 points, 4 vs. 211 pro-speed bias; HP/LP 30/65: 35 points – order of finish 10-7-3-1


Aqueduct: 1/28/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (89/89)-5 (76/76)=====PF Ranking 5-6-4 – order of finish 2-4-6

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (87/87 vs. 100 anti-speed bias)-5 (84/84 vs. 38 anti-speed bias)=====PF Ranking 4-5-1 – order of finish 1-4-7

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (107/96)-7 (95/95)-3 (95/93 vs. 100 anti-speed bias)-2 (98/91 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)=====PF Ranking (6-7)-2-3 – 7 $6.70 - order of finish 7-6-1

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred mdn.spec.wts. – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred mdn.spec.wts. – PASS

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (88/81)-3 (88/79)-1 (88/78)-4 (78/74)=====PF Ranking 6-(1-4)-9 – order of finish 2-4-6

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (84/84; prior, mud)-8 (81/79)-11 (80/77; mud)-6 (78/76) =====PF Ranking 8-7-5-1 (stale 7 1/2 mo.)-6 – 8 $3.50 - order of finish 8-1-6

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (104/104)-3 (104/102)=====PF Ranking 2-3-(1-4-7) – 2 Won $7.60 - order of finish 2-4-7

Race 9 - MR: 4

P/P: 6 (81/80)-8 (81/77; prior, fog)-4 (79/76)=====PF Ranking 4-6-9-(10-11) – order of finish 1-6-3


Aqueduct: 1/27/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (92/88)-7 (85/85)=====PF Ranking 5-3-7 – order of finish 2-3-8

Closer: 1 closed vs. 222 pro-speed bias

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (100/97; turf-4 (65/65 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)=====PF Ranking 1-7-4 – order of finish 3-4-1

Race 3 - MR: 2

P/P: 2 (79/79)-4 (73/73; prior, mud)-1A (80/71; prior, mud) =====PF Ranking 2-7-1A – 2 Won $6.70, 2-1 Ex. $46.80- order of finish 2-1-3

Race 4 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (78/78)-7 (88/77)-1 (82/76; prior, trouble)=====PF Ranking 7-5-6 – 1 $4.00 - order of finish 1-3-7

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 8 (61/61)-7 (59/59)-1 (58/58)=====PF Ranking 8-1-3-7 – 7 $18.20, 7-1 Ex. $59.50 - order of finish 7-1-6

Race 6 - MR: 1 Bad match up of maiden special weights – PASS

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (112/104; stale 6 mo.)-3 (103/98 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)-1 (103/97 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)=====PF Ranking 6-3-2 – order of finish 5-3-6

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (89/86 vs. 83 anti-speed bias)-3 (88/84)=====PF Ranking 4-6-(2-3) – finish 7-6-4

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (97/92)-1 (89/79; prior, class)-9 (78/78)=====PF Ranking 9-2-6-5 – 2 Won $10.00 - order of finish 2-3-5-4


Aqueduct: 1/26/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (101/92; LRL)-6 (92/86; HAW)-5 (79/76)=====PF Ranking 5-6-(1A-2) – 1A Won $3.40, 1A-6 Ex. $19.90 - order of finish 1A-6-7

Race 2 - MR: 1 Bad match up of maiden $16K claimers – PASS

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (92/92)-3 (87/87)=====PF Ranking 5 (stale 1 year)-6-1 – order of finish 5-1-7

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of 3-yr.-old maiden claimers – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden claimers – PASS

Race 6 - MR: 2

P/P: 11 (77/69; 3rd back, class, trouble)-2 (63/63)-5 (63/61) =====PF Ranking 5-11-2 – 2 $18.00 - order of finish 2-6-1A-11

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (68/68)-4 (68/66)-1 (68/66)-6 (66/66)=====PF Ranking 5-(4-8)-(1-6) – 4 $7.20, 2-4 D/D $70.00 - order of finish 4-8-1-5

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (107/98)-10 (107/96; 5 1/4 behind)=====PF Ranking 10-3-2-9 – 3 Won $6.90 - order of finish 3-8-10

Race 9 - MR: 4

P/P: 7 (96/96)-2 (95/94)-5 (95/92)-10 (96/89)=====PF Ranking 7-10-1-5 – 10 $10.00, 4-2-10 Pick 3 $106.00, 2-4-2-10 Pick 4 $929.00 - order of finish 10-6-2-7


Aqueduct: 1/25/06

Race 1 - MR: 2

P/P: 2 (76/64; mud)=====PF Ranking 2-5-8 – 2 Won $5.60 - order of finish 2-7-6

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (78/77)-3 (78/65)-7 (64/62 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)=====PF Ranking 4-3-8 – 4 Won $4.10, 2-4 D/D $14.40 - order of finish 4-8-3

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (94/94)-3 (78/78)-7 (72/72)=====PF Ranking 1A-3-4 – 1A Won $3.90 - order of finish 1A-4-7

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred mdn.spec.wt’s – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 2

P/P: 5 77/70; mud)=====PF Ranking (4-5-6) – order 7-4-5

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (91/91)-8 (75/73; stale 6 mo.)-4 (65/65)=====PF Ranking 3-2-5-4 – order 1-4-8

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (98/98 vs. 100 anti-speed bias)-7 (98/93 vs. 100 anti-speed bias)-9 (89/89) =====PF Ranking (4-9)-7 – 9 $4.50 - order of finish 9-1A-4

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 8 (98/92 vs. 100 anti-speed bias)-1 (91/89)-4 (86/85)=====PF Ranking 8-1-7-9 – order of finish 2-3-5

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 10 (107/98)-4 (96/95)-7 (79/79)=====PF Ranking 4-10-6-7 – 4 $4.20, 10-4 Ex. $15.00 - order of finish 4-10-11-3


Aqueduct: 1/22/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (82/79)-3 (82/76)-6 (82/72)=====PF Ranking 1-3-6 – 1 Won $4.90, 1-6 Ex. $11.80, 1-6-3 Tri. $22.60

Closer: 6 vs. 222 pro-speed bias

Race 2 - MR: 1 – 5 first-time-starters in field of 8 - PASS

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (111/93; 6 lengths back)-5 (72/66)-1 (62/59; prior 78/75) =====PF Ranking 4-5-2

Closer: 2 strong close with HP/LP ratio of 62/78: 15 pts. – 2 Won $3.70, 2-1 Ex. $9.10, 2-1-5 Tri. $15.80

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden claimers – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (71/71)-2 (66/66)=====PF Ranking 6-2-8 – 6 Won $5.10, 6-2 Ex. $10.60 - order of finish 6-2-3-5

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (85/80 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)-5 (85/81; prior, trouble)=====PF Ranking 3-7-6

Closer: 7 vs. 220 pro-speed bias – 7 Won $4.60, 7-5 Ex. $48.40, 7-5-3 Tri. $131.00

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (100/93; triple top HP, HS, PF, regression?)-1 (89/82)-7 (89/82)-6 (82/78 vs. 50 anti-speed bias; stale 8 1/2 mo.)=====PF Ranking 4-6-1 – 4 Won $9.40 - order of finish 4-3-1

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (95/95)-6 (100/94)=====PF Ranking 4-6-(1-3) – 4 Won $3.40 - order of finish 4-3-6

Race 9 - MR:4

P/P: 3 (89/88; prior, class)-9 (81/81; dirt triple top HP, HS, PF, regression?)-8 (79/76)-6 (81/71)=====PF Ranking 8-3-9-6 – 9 Won $62.00, 4-9 D/D $153.50, 4-4-9 Pick 3 $646.00, 7-4-4-9 Pick 4 $1,802.00 - order of finish 9-7-1-3


Aqueduct: 1/21/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (92/92)-7 (89/89)-10 (79/79)=====PF Ranking 7-10-4-3

Closer: 3 HP/LP ratio of 62/78, 16 pts. – 7 $5.70, 7-1A Ex. $27.60 - order of finish 7-1A-4

Race 2 - MR: 4 – pace shape favors the 2 speeds

P/P: 6 (82/82; slop)-9 (79/79)=====PF Ranking 6-9-8-1 – 6 Won $5.40, 6-9 Ex. $17.20, 7-6 D/D $12.40 - order of finish 6-9-5

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (86/86; top HP, HS, PF – regress?)-5 (86/83; top HP, HS, PF – regress?)=====PF Ranking 1A-5-7 – 1A Won $3.40, 1A-5 Ex. $12.20 - order of finish 1A-5-2

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of 3-year-old maiden claimers – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (109/109; prior, class, mud)-9 (108/99; prior class)-2 (91/91)-10 (91/90)=====PF Ranking 12-10-9-11 – 9 $14.60 - order of finish 9-5-6

Race 6 - MR: 1 Bad match up of 3-year-old maiden sp.wts – PASS

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (96/93)-3 (89/85)-9 (85/85)-6 (85/84)=====PF Ranking 4-(1-8)-3 – 4 Won $6.80 - order of finish 4-8-6

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (106/105 vs. 89 anti-speed bias)-5 (104/104)-2 (104/99) =====PF Ranking 2-5-1 – 1 Won $7.10 - order of finish 1-3-5

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (79/79)-8 (78/78)-7 (80/77)-6 (80/77)=====PF Ranking 8-5-6-2 – 8 $6.90, 4-1-8 Pick 3 $133.50 - order of finish 8-3-9-5


Aqueduct: 1/20/06

P/P: 1A (89/89; prior, fog)-7 (86/86)-3 (82/81; prior, fog)=====PF Ranking 2-7-1

Closer: 5 closed vs. 220 pro-speed bias (HP/LP 62/75) – 3 $12.20 - order of finish 3-4-2

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (69/67; vs. 71 anti-speed bias)-6 (70/60)-4 (58/58)-2 (60/56) =====PF Ranking (6-7)-3-(2-4) – order of finish 1-3-6

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (65/65; mud)-7 (72/64)=====PF Ranking 1-5-7 – 5 Won $7.50, 5-1 Ex. $24.00, 5-1-7 Tri. $55.50

Race 4 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (76/76)-8 (82/71)-3 (66/66)=====PF Ranking 3-4-2-8 – 4 Won $14.20 - order of finish 4-10-1

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (78/67; prior, fog, closed late vs. 220 pro-speed bias in slop)-6 (64/59; closed vs. 275 pro-speed bias)=====PF Ranking 2-6-8 – order of finish 4-2-1

Race 6 - MR: 2

P/P: 10 (65/64)-3 (64/60)-9 (56/53)-6 (60/52)=====PF Ranking 4-(2-10) – order of finish 4-2-9

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (107/107; prior, class)-1 (94/92; prior, mud)-9 (91/91) =====PF Ranking 9-6-11 – 1 $8.40, 1-9 Ex. $31.80 - order of finish 1-9-11

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (91/90; vs. 80 anti-speed bias; away 85 days)-2 (84/84; prior, class)-6 (82/82) =====PF Ranking 7-6-2 – order of finish 5-3-6

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (81/76; prior, mud)-4 (74/74; prior, mud)-2 (70/70)-3 (68/68; prior, mud) =====PF Ranking 1 (stale 7 mo.)-2-7-4 – order of finish 1-4-11-2


Aqueduct: 1/19/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (108/102; slop)-5 (95/95)-6 (95/95)-4 (95/93)=====PF Ranking 3-8-5-4 – 6 $16.40 - order of finish 6-2-8

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 2B (87/75)-4 (78/66; stale 4 1/2 mo.)-1A (66/63) =====PF Ranking 2B-4-1A – 2B Won $3.80, 6-2 D/D $43.20 - order of finish 2B-7-4

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (89/86; stale 4 1/2 mo., turf)-3 (85/80; prior, class)-8 (87/77; slop)-7 (82/77)-6 (80/76; slop)=====PF Ranking 4-5-7-6 – 5 Won $16.00 - order of finish 5-4-6

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (82/79)-8 (77/71)-3 (70/70)-7 (82/68)=====PF Ranking 2-7-1-3

Closer: 7 closed vs. 222 pro-speed bias 68/83 HP to LP ratio - 2 Won $4.40 - order of finish 2-1A-7

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (116/115)-9 (98/97; stale 18 mo.)-7 (94/94)-3 (94/91) =====PF Ranking 9-1-7-3 – 1 Won $9.10, 1-7 Ex. $54.00 - order of finish 1-7-8

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 3X (83/76)-9 (76/76)-8 (84/75)=====PF Ranking 3X-9-7 – 9 $12.60, 9-3 Ex. $83.00, 1-9 D/D $107.50, 2-1-9 P-3 $237.50 - order of finish 9-3-5

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (80/80; slop)-8 (80/79; slop)-6 (73/72; prior, trouble) =====PF Ranking 8-5-7 – 8 $14.40 - order of finish 8-1-9-5

Closer: 3 closed on a pro-speed 220 bias in the slop

Race 9 - MR: 4

P/P: 6 (100/96; prior, class)-3 (98/92 vs. anti-speed bias)-8 (96-92)-7 (96/90)=====PF Ranking 7-8-9-6 - 3 Won $12.60, 3-6 Ex. $45.80, 8-3 D/D $141.50, 9-8-3 P-3 $927.00, 1-9-8-3 P-4 $6,024.00 - order of finish 3-6-9-8


Aqueduct: 1/16/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (81/81, mud)-3 (81/81, mud)-5 (81/80, mud)=====PF Ranking 2-3-5 – 3 $21.40 - order of finish 3-7-4

Closer: 1A closed (slop) on a 220 pro-speed bias

Race 2 - MR: 2

P/P: 3 (60/60; prior, class)=-6 (58/57)=====PF Ranking 1-6-7 – 3 Won $3.70, 3-3 D/D $41.00 - order of finish 3-2-1

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (91/91)-4 (82/77)=====PF Ranking 4-3-(1A-2)

Closer: 2 closed on a pro-speed 220 (slop) bias (HP/LP 58/71), 4 closed on a pro-speed 220 (slop) bias – 3 Won $4.20 - order of finish 3-1A-2

Race 4 - MR: 1 Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (119/113 on an anti-speed bias 78)-5 (98/98; stale 5 1/2 mo., turf)-1 (95/95; slop) =====PF Ranking 1-A-5-7 – 1A Won $5.60 - order of finish 1A-2B-5

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 10 (82/82)-1 (82/82)- 6 (82/80)=====PF Ranking 10-6-5 – 6 $12.40, 6-10 Ex. $34.00 – order of finish 6-10-7-5

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (100/100)-2 (91/91)-6 (88/87)=====PF Ranking 3-1-2 – order of finish 1-8-2

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (89/83)-4 (72/71)=====PF Ranking 3 (stale 5 mo.)-6-4 – 6 Won $16.70 - order of finish 6-1-3

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (104/97; prior, class, post)-8 (96/96)-9 (94/88)-7 (87/86; prior, class) =====PF Ranking 8-6-(4-10)-9 – order of finish 2-6-8-9


Aqueduct: 1/15/06 Racing Cancelled


Aqueduct: 1/14/06

Muddy/Sealed

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 7 (92/86)-3 (80/78)-1 (82/72)-5 (72/68; slop, prior 74/74) =====PF Ranking 3-7-5-1 – order of finish 4-5-3

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 1A (76/75)-4 (80/72; prior, fog)=====PF Ranking 4-1A-8

Closer: 4 closed on 220 pro-speed bias in last (sloppy/sealed); 3 closed on a 200 pro-speed bias – 4 Won $5.50, 4-1 Ex. $13.20, 4-1-8 Tri. $45.40

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (98/91)-6 (93/90)-1A (93/87)-4 (87/87)=====PF Ranking 4-1A-(1-6) – 1 Won $7.90, 1-4 Ex.$16.40 - order of finish 1-4-1A

Race 4 - MR: 2 - NYS-bred maiden claimers

P/P: 4 (67/61)-8 (57/52)-10 (94/94; prior on turf) =====PF Ranking 5-4-7 – order 2-11-6

Closer: 7 closed on 200 pro-speed bias

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (85/81; stale 3 1/2 mo., turf)-7 (76/75)-6 (70/69; prior, class) =====PF Ranking 6-9-7 – 6 $7.90, 6-9 Ex. $114.50, 6-9-7 Tri. $439.00

Closer: 2 closed on 220 pro-speed bias

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (71/71)-10 (79/65)-7 (62/62)=====PF Ranking 10-9-7-(1-2-4) – 10 $6.60, 10-7 Ex. $34.20 - order of finish 10-7-8

Closer: 2 closed on 222 pro-speed bias

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (87/87)-9 (84/84)=====PF Ranking 1 (stale 5 1/2 mo., turf)-5-9-6 – order of finish 6-9-4

Race 8 - MR: 2 - 4-horse/3-betting interest field

P/P: 2 (66/66; prior 116/116)-3 (66/66)=====PF Ranking 1A (turf)-2-3-1 – 2 Won $3.10 - order of finish 2-3-1-1A

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 4 (73/73)-10 (73/67)-9 (63/60)-(2-6 - 63/57)=====PF Ranking 4-2-10-9-6 – 6 $33.40, 6-9 Ex. $156.50, 2-6 D/D $54.50


Aqueduct: 1/13/06

Race 1 - MR: 4

P/P: 3 (97/97; prior, class, mud)-7 (98/89; prior, class)-6 (81/81)=====PF Ranking 6-3-4-7 – order of finish 2-3-4-6

Race 2 - MR: 3

P/P: 8 (82/79; slop)-2 (82/77; slop)-3 (68/68)=====PF Ranking 3-2-(1-6) – order of finish 4-3-6-1

Race 3 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (79/79; prior, class)-1 (82/77; prior, class, post)-3 (79/70) =====PF Ranking 1-4-(2-7) – 2 Won $3.80 - order of finish 2-4-3

Race 4 - MR: 1 - Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (115/109)-7 (79/79)-1 (79/74)=====PF Ranking 2-6-(1-7) – order of finish 1A-7-4; 1-7 ex. $31.40

Race 6 - MR: 1 - Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 8 (76/74; prior, which was stale, lost rider)-5 (70/70; prior, class)-2 (68/68; prior, class)=====PF Ranking 7-(2-6) – order of finish 7-3-8

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (84/84)-6 (83/83)-2 (76/76; prior, class)=====PF Ranking 1-6-2 – 1 Won $16.40, 1-6 Ex. $91.00 - order of finish 1-6-7

Race 9 - MR: 3

9 of 10 in this match up are exiting races run in mud or slop.

P/P: 2 (66/59)-3 (66/58)-8 (68/57)-9 (56/55; prior, slop)=====PF Ranking 3-8-2-5

Closer: #3 closed on pro-speed 220; #2 showed speed in prior on anti-speed 89; #9 showed speed in prior on anti-speed 89 – 3 Won $8.50, 1-3 D/D $69.50 - order of finish 3-7-8-2


Aqueduct: 1/12/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (95/95; prior, mud)-3 (95/93; prior, mud)-4 (97/90)=====PF Ranking 6-1-3 – order of finish 1-5-2

Race 2 - MR: 1 - Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

Race 3 - MR: 2

P/P: 4 (80/80; prior, class, trouble)-3 (74/74; prior, class, trouble) =====PF Ranking 1-6-(2-5) – 4 Won $8.10, 4-3 cold ex. $76.00, 4-3-1 cold tri. $160.50

Race 4 - MR: 1 - Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden claimers - PASS

Race 5 - MR: 1 - Bad match up of maiden claimers - PASS

Race 6 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (91/88)-1 (90/86)-5 (83/83; prior, class)=====PF Ranking 2-3-1 – 5 $9.00 - order of finish 5-2-1

Race 7 - MR: 4

P/P: 9 (77/77)-1 (78/74)-7 (73/68; smooth fade-back with even finish vs. 75 anti-speed bias) =====PF Ranking 1-(6-9) – order of finish 6-4-7-9

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 1 (87/87 - Gate Scratch)-5 (87/82)-3 (87/82)-7 (87/79)=====PF Ranking 1 (Gate Scratch)-7-5-3 – 3 $15.60, 3-5 ex. $55.00 - order of finish 3-5-8-2

Race 9 - MR: 4

P/P: 2 (98/98; turf)-8 (92/87)-10 (89/86; stale 3 mo.)=====PF Ranking 2-8-1-10

Closer: 4 – closed from 9th to 5th, gaining 4 1/2 lengths from the 4F mark to the finish as well as 4 positions from start to finish on a pro-speed track rating of 222

#8 ran evenly and 3-wide in the same pro-speed race; both are dropping in class – order of finish 1-7-10-8


Aqueduct: 1/11/06

Race 1 - MR: 3

P/P: 8 (79/75)-3 (76/73)-1 (82/70) =====PF ranking 8-3-1 – 3 $5.30, 3-8 ex. $12.80 – order of finish 3-8-6

Race 2 - MR: 1

P/P: 3 (71/70; prior, stumbled at start - speed vs. 83 bias)=====PF Ranking 3-8-2 – order of finish 1A-3-2

Race 3 - MR: 4

P/P: 4 (77/77)-7 (76/75)-1 (76/70)=====PF Ranking 4-(1-7) – 7 $4.40, 7-1 ex. $10.00 – order of finish 7-1-6

Race 4 - MR: 3

P/P: 9 (74/73)-2 (65/61; prior, class)-3 (67/56; prior, class - speed in last vs. 71 bias)=====PF Ranking 9 (27 pt. edge in last-out PF)-2-4-3 – 3 $22.00, 3-9 ex. $67.50 – order of finish 3-9-1-10

Race 5 - MR: 3

P/P: 6 (95/94)-7 (86/86; prior, class)-4 (83/80; prior, class)-2 (82/78; prior, class)-8 (78/78)=====PF Ranking 6-8-4-5 – 2 $12.80, 2-7 ex. $47.80, 2-7-8 tri. $201.00, 7-3-2 P-3 $313.50

Race 6 - MR: 2

P/P: 6 (80/80)-3 (80/77)-8 (80/67)=====PF Ranking 6-8-7-(2-3) – order of finish 7-6-8

Race 7 - MR: 3

P/P: 2 (98/96; prior, class)-1 (95/93)-3 (90/90; turf)-6 (95/89) =====PF Ranking 2-1-3-5 (stale, 3 1/2 mo.) – order of finish 4-1-2

Race 8 - MR: 3

P/P: 3 (92/92)-7 (92/84)-6 (89/84)-4 (78/78)-1 (78/76; speed vs. 89 bias and 12 pt. spread between HP/LP – 76/88)=====PF Ranking 6-3-1-9-2 – 6 $4.70 – order of finish 6-2-3-1

Race 9 - MR: 3

P/P: 5 (81/81)-2 (81/77)-4 (77/75; prior, class)-8 (73/73)=====PF Ranking 5-8-(4-6) – order of finish 6-1A-4-5


The Pace/Pace play as I devised it is not always about the horse with both the best last-out RP and HP.

Many times yes, and that's a good thing, but not always.

To date the prerequisites that have yielded the best results are:

  • best last-out race pace and horse pace, the latter being the more significant figure. The top pace/pace horse will always have the best HP, but not always the best RP

    While the RP is also important, it is stressed mostly in the ranking of contenders, meaning if there are 2 or more horses exiting the same (or different) race that has the best RP in the match up, the horse with the best HP would be top-ranked.

    We will find occasions in which a horse may qualify with, for example, RP and HP figures of 97/90 while another has 95/95. The latter would be the top-ranked pace/pace horse.

  • a qualifier must have been within 4 lengths of the lead (or positioned in 2nd) at the pace call. When there are few qualifiers in a particular race relax it to less than 5 lengths off the lead at the pace call

  • If the last race shows major trouble encountered, go back to the previous race

  • In some cases we may want to excuse the last-out race of a horse due to reasons other than trouble encountered, like post position, class, etc. if the prior pace figures line indicates it is a pace/pace contender in its current match up

    A viable added bonus is a qualifier that has in its last outing recorded a top (best showing in the pace figures) horse pace figure and a non-top horse speed figure

    A match up that contains one, two or three qualifiers with at least one of them at double-digit odds can make for a good scenario for a trifecta box or if the exacta probables are good enough (perhaps $40 minimum for each combo) an exacta box.

    APF means ascending last 3 performance figures.


    Aqueduct Inner Dirt Track

    1/8/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: 5 (5 back at pace call, but in 3rd and vs. 89 anti speed-bias)-1A-3-2=====(1A-2)-5 – 1A $5.50, 1A-5 ex. $18.20 – order 1A-5-2

    Race 2: Bad match up of 3-year-old filly maiden special weights - PASS

    Race 3: 2 (prior, drop)-6 (speed vs. 75 anti speed bias)-7APF =====6-7-4-2 – 6 Won $5.80 – order 6-1A-4

    Race 4: Bad match up of 3-year-old filly maiden special weights - PASS

    Race 5: Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights – PASS

    Race 6: 5 (3rd back, turf/class, slop)-1A-7=====1A-5-7 – 7 $4.10 – order 7-2-1A

    Race 7: 5-2 (prior, post/class)-10-9 APF=====(1A-2-10)-1-9 (seems pretty contentious) – order 1-6-3

    Race 8: 3 (prior, 3-wide/slop)-5 (prior, class)-4=====1-3-2-(1A-5) – order 2-5-7

    Race 9: Another bad mdn. match up – 1 (stale, 7 1/2 mo.)-3 (mud)-7-9=====1-(7-9)-(2-3) – order 2-1-8-9


    1/7/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: 2-6 (speed vs. 75 closer bias)-4=====1-(closed strongly on speed bias)-6-7-4 – 6 Won $10.40 – order 6-7-1-2

    Race 2: 5-3=====3-5 – 3 Won $6.50, D/D $33.20 - order 3-2-5

    Race 3: 3-1-6=====5 (dangerous, closed with 67 HP/96 LP and prior 102/101 pace/pace on 83 bias track)-(2-3-6-7) – order 5 ($3.50)-3 (ex. $8.30)-2

    Race 4: Bad match up of 3-year-old filly maiden claimers - PASS

    Race 5: 4 (106/101 pace/pace vs. 89 bias)-6 (prior, class drop)-1A=====2-7-4-3 – order 1A ($14.80)-7-3

    Race 6: Bad match up of 3-year-old maiden special weights - PASS

    Race 7: 2B APF (best pace/pace, 94/91, vs. 89 bias)-1A-7=====1A-7-1-(4-8) – order 4-3-7

    Race 8: 9 (3rd race back)-4 APF-1-3=====9-1-4-3 – 9 Won $8.70, 9-3 ex. $80.50 - order 9-3-10-1

    Race 9: 5 (prior, 11-post last)-7-1=====1-(4-10)-8 – order 6-8-5-1


    1/6/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: 9 (prior, class drop)-7 (prior, class drop/mud)=====9-7-5 – 7 $4.30, 7-9 ex. $14.00 - order 7-9-4

    Race 2: 7-3-1=====1-7-3 – 1 $3.70 – order 1-8-4

    Race 3: 3 APF -1 (stale, 8 mo., faded vs. strong closer-bias)=====3-5-2 – order 4-3-5

    Race 4: 3-6 APF-7 (prior, class drop)=====3-6-7 – order 9-1-7

    Race 5: 2 (prior, class drop)-10 (prior, class drop)-7=====7-5-(2-4-9) – 2 $3.90 – order 2-5-9

    Race 6: 7 (vs. bias)-11 (vs. bias)-4=====4-11-12-7 – order 12-4-5

    Race 7: 6-4 (prior, drop in class)-7=====6-7-2-1A-4 – order 2-6-1A-7

    Race 8: 10 (prior, class drop)-9 (w/w vs. strong closer-bias)-1=====9-6-1 – order 2-1-6

    Race 9: 5 (mud)-7-4 APF (mud)=====3-11-5-7 – order 9-2-11-3


    1/5/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: (1A APF-4 APF-6 APF)=====(1A-4)-6 – order 2-1-4

    Race 2: 9 APF-1=====9-2-1-6 - Note: both pace/pace horses are exiting a closer-biased surface, which gives them an added edge in this match up – 1 $9.40, 1-9 ex. $29.40 – order 1-9-7-6

    Race 3: 7-3 (prior, class drop)-1 (prior, winners last)=====6 (turf)-5-1 - Note: #3 is exiting a pretty significant closer-biased surface, which gives him an added edge in this match up – 7 Won $20.00 – order 7-5-8-3

    Race 4: 5-3=====5-3-9 – 5 Won $7.40, 1-7-5 P-3 $1,143.00 - order 5-2-3

    Race 5: 2 APF=====2-4-3 - order 3-5-2

    Race 6: 1A (prior, class drop)=====8-1 – order 2B-1A-(4-5 D.H.)

    Race 7: 3 (stale 17 mo.)-4-2 APF (prior, class drop)=====3-(2-4) – 3 Won $10.40, 3-4 ex. $24.40, 3-4-2 tri. $55.00

    Race 8: 2-1=====2-(1A-5, turf)-1 – 2 Won $4.10, 1-2 ex. $6.10 - order 2-1-1A-4

    Race 9: 9 (prior, class drop)-4 (prior, class drop)-3=====3-9-5-7 – order 12-6-5-9


    1/2/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: 6 APF-2-3-1=====6-2-1-4 – order 1A-4-5

    Race 2: 4 APF-2-1=====4-1-2 – 2 $19.40, 2-4 ex. $59.50 – order 2-4-6

    Race 3: 5 (slop)-3=====(3-5)-2 – order 1-5-2

    Race 4: Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights - PASS

    Race 5: 1A-7-4-8=====7-8-(1A-4) – order 3-2-1A

    Race 6: 10 (mud)-2-5 (prior, bumped start)-6=====10-2-12-4 – order 9-7-4-10

    Race 7: 7 APF-9=====7-4-9 – order 4-2-7

    Race 8: 3-4 APF-1 (prior, hit gate)=====3-4-1 – 1 $5.30, 1-4 ex. $14.80 – order in 4-horse field 1-4-5

    Race 9: 7 (mud)-4 (mud)-3 (mud)=====7-12-4-6 - order 5-4-12-13


    1/1/06 – order of Pace/Pace followed by=====order of PF

    Race 1: 1 (stale, 8 mo.)-8 APF-6=====8-1-6 – order 5-3-1

    Race 2: 4-1A (prior, disliked turf)=====1-2B-4 – order 2B-7-3

    Race 3: 8 APF-1-4===7 (stale, 18 1/2 mo.)-8-1-4 – 4 $11.80, 4-1 ex. $29.80 - order 4-1-7

    Race 4: Bad match up of NYS-bred maiden special weights - PASS

    Race 5: 5 (prior, class)-9-3=====9-5-3 – 5 Won $5.80, 5-9 ex. $13.00, 5-9-3 tri. $42.20

    Race 6: Iffy match-up – 5 (turf) APF-3=====3-9-1A-5 – 3 $5.00 – order 3-4-7

    Race 7: 2 (prior, 9-hole)-3 APF-5=====3-2-4 – order 10-2-5

    Race 8: 8 (prior, last Gr.2)-6 APF-5=====1-6-2-5 – order 4-1-6

    Race 9: 1-11 (prior, bumped start)-3=====1-5-(11-7) – 3 $5.90 – order 3-5-10-7