Today is the first Saturday in May, so it's not only
the day I send out this month's newsletter, but it's the
day of racing's biggest event, "the most exciting 2
minutes in sports", the 129th running of The Kentucky
I have examined this race from every different angle
and approach I could think of, including a careful
study of the last 11 winners, to arrive at a "profile"
of a present day Kentucky Derby winner.
And I know what it takes in terms of breeding,
conditioning, and foundation to win this one special
Not to mention the absolute key signals of next
out readiness a developing 3 year old must display to
be considered a top contender for the Roses.
There are a number of factors that must be present in
one or preferably both of a Kentucky Derby hopeful's final 2
prep races for it to have a chance at an in the money
finish, let alone the win.
Many of you have subscribed to my Triple Crown Selections
package and have seen all that I have written about this
unique race, including my final analysis and selections.
For anyone else who has not subscribed but would like to,
they can get immediate access to my Kentucky Derby Report
as well as my final analysis and selections for this
great event right now.
To subscribe now, please click
Before I get into the meat of this newsletter, I just
want to recommend a movie to everyone, due for release
on July 25th. I don't know the exacta title of it, but
it's about the life of one of the most extraordinary
equine athletes to ever step onto a racetrack, Sea
If you are a fan of thoroughbred horseracing, and
obviously you are, you will love this story, and I
would guess you will shed a few tears also. I'm familiar
with this horse's history, and I can tell you that after
seeing a segment about him recently on public TV, I have
to consider him the greatest thorougbred of all time.
You may walk out of the movie thinking the same thing,
as you wipe your eyes.
This month's topic is Speed Figures.
It's my belief that speed figures are the most widely
used handicapping factor of all. They are everywhere.
Track programs, software programs, racing forms, and
If there is an odds on favorite in a race, it's a good
bet that he has the biggest speed figure. While
odds on favorites with the biggest speed figure win a
good percentage of the time, betting only them, or any
favorite for that matter all the time, will result in
a negative R.O.I.
You simply cannot make money at this game by betting
only favorites. Or the best speed figure horses.
So why the discussion of speed figures? Because you can
increase your odds of making money by using them correctly.
But I'll say right up front that "using" them includes
some guess work and interpretation.
As with everything else in this game of thoroughbred
horseracing, there are no sure fire ways of accurately
predicting the outcome of a race with a high degree of
certainty by interpreting the speed figures that are
there right in front of us for every race.
But on occasion we can locate good betting opportunities
and value situations by including an analysis of speed
And that's what making money at this game is all about.
Connecting on the value plays we uncover that
happen to click.
For the purposes of this discussion, I will be referring
to the Beyer speed figures that are found only in the
Daily Racing Form (and nowhere else), because that is the
publication I personally use for past performances, and
those are the speed figures I happen to think are the
One of the key ways we can utilize speed figures is to
first identify the horse with the best last out number
and use that as a starting point for this process, which
is not a substitute for our handicapping method,
but simply an addition to it that we can use to our
And the analysis and interpretation of speed figures
should only take a short amount of time.
It's not a bad idea when scanning races to use speed
figures to see if you can determine whether or not
there may be enough value to go ahead and fully handicap
and construct wagers.
What I do is put a big red checkmark over the highest
last out Beyer speed figure. And I also put a red
underline for each entry's high Beyer showing in the p.p.'s.
I say showing in the p.p.'s because in the Daily
Racing Form the usual maximum number of past performances
listed is 12, and the lifetime high Beyer, which
is displayed in the upper right hand segment of each horse's
p.p.'s, could be a good bit higher if that horse has had
quite a few more races than the dozen showing.
The first thing I will want to notice is if the high
Beyer horse has run a lifetime best race in that last
outing. Or even a recent best race in the p.p.'s that
If so, how much of an improvement was it over his last
outing or few outings, and over his previous best?
The reason for this exercise is to try to give a best
"estimate" as to whether this horse will regress
(bounce) from that strong last out performance.
To read more of my thoughts about "bouncing", you can
go to issue #003 of this newsletter dated December 7th,
2002, which discusses this topic more thoroughly.
For this or any archived issue of Horseracing Info
Newsletter, you can click here.
Since the high Beyer horse will very often be the
betting public's choice, if we can have a strong opinion
that this horse will bounce of a lifetime top and taxing
effort, we will be going against the crowd and will be
facing a value situation.
It's my guess that the first thing most players do is
to look at the speed figures of all the entries. And
when they see a horse with a big "fig" advantage, they
use that as a starting point for their betting.
That's pretty much as far as they go with speed figures.
Identify the best and go from there.
But that's not what this discussion is about. It's about
much deeper analysis and interpretation of speed figures.
Like I have said, trying to determine when a horse will
bounce off a much the best top speed figure is as much
guess work as it is talent.
But as a rule of thumb, the bigger the gap between the
previous high and the last out top, the more likelihood
there is for a bounce.
Of course there are other considerations involved also.
A young horse is much more likely to show big sudden
improvement than an older one.
The fewer the number of races a horse has, the more
he can increase his speed figures. It makes sense since
he is maturing and improving when younger.
When a horse gets to be 4 years old & older and has more than
a dozen races on his ledger, he's less likely to make
a big jump or move forward. It can happen, but certainly
not as often.
And the older a horse gets with more and more races run,
the less likely he will suddenly put in an effort that
increases his lifetime speed figure mark by a substantial
Of course things like different surfaces, dirt to
grass and vice versa, fast track to off track and vice
versa, and change in distances can affect speed figures
When we are scanning the speed figures of a field of
horses, we should take note of any such differentials.
If a horse has run on dirt for 12 races showing except
for the 5th and 10th outings, which were run on grass
and at a longer distance in the slop respectively, we
should pretty much omit those exceptions in our
Here is a typical example of such a scenario: 67, 68, 63,
64, 44, 68, 70, 68, 70, 53, 71, 75.
Obviously this horse's grass and off track Beyers were
out of line with the rest. He displayed a couple of
cycling patterns that I'll get into later in our
3 example races.
Back to the bounce phenomenon. And don't think it isn't
real. It happens to athletes other than the equine
variety also, including golfers who put in a tremendous
effort when shooting a very low round such as a 63,
and very often follow it with a score in the 70's. It
happens every week on the pro tours.
After I put a big red check mark above the highest Beyer
in the field, I then will try to get an idea of what this
likely favorite is going to do next.
Will he improve and run a higher figure? Or will he regress
some and run a lower number?
First of all, if this figure is not his best showing in
his p.p.s, it is much more likely that he will not bounce
or regress than if it not only is, but is by a large
margin, say 6 or more points.
Once I get an idea of what the top figure horse may do
in today's race, I make a guestimate of what speed figure
it will take to win this race.
And speaking of top figures, a spread of only a point or
2 is not all that significant. A significant best last
out Beyer is one that is at least 3 points better than
the other last out Beyers.
The best last out Beyer horse, no matter what the spread,
wins between 26% and 30% of the time. Except on grass when
that figure rises to nearly 32% or 33%.
Taking the example given above of the horse showing his
last 12 Beyer speed figures, let's say his last out 75 is
the best in the field by 3.
Here is a hypothetical field of 8 horses going today with
their last 3 Beyers beginning with their 3rd race back and
and we'll say the last out figures were all on a fast dirt
track at the same 6F distance:
59, 62, 58
46, 54, 57
66, 65, 66
48, 55, 56
53, 71, 75
66, 62, 63
74, 66, 72
60, 65, 59
What would be the "target" speed figure for this field,
meaning the number the winner will have to earn?
We begin with the last out 3-point advantage Beyer
horse who ran a 75. His is the 8-5 favorite in this
match up, and we want to estimate what figure he will
run and go from there.
Since I've listed his last 12 Beyers, we can make a
fairly good guess. Is it likely he will run a higher
figure than his last out lifetime best 75?
The answer is no. What then can we estimate this
public choice horse will run? By quickly scanning his
Beyers we can see that when he hit a high of 69 in
his 2nd race showing he regressed in his next to a
63. When he got to 70 the first time he then regressed
in his next to 68.
This particular horse did not show a history of
bouncing sharply to show much lesser Beyers for
periods of time, just small regressions off tops.
He then followed his next 70 with a 71 and a 75
(omitting the route race in the slop), 2 consecutive
new lifetime top figures.
If I were to guess what this horse would run in
today's race, and of course there are other
considerations including class hike or drop,
trainer and jockey, etc., I would say the figure
would be around 70.
After running basically 3 tops in a row, 70, 71,
and 75, he is a bounce candidate, and today's
figure could even be below 70.
What about the others in this field?
If we make today's target number 70, which entries
are capable of earning that Beyer speed figure?
We can pretty quickly eliminate numbers 1, 2 and
4, reducing the field from 8 to 5. #3 with his
last 3 figures of 66, 65, and 66 is a possibility,
and again, we obviously have to see what these
all look like according to our handicapping
#8 is coming off a 59 and would have to make
quite a jump up to reach 70. And #6 showing a
high of 66 followed by 62 and 63 would also
have to improve sharply.
In addition to the top Beyer horse #5, the
periphery players seem to be #3 and #6, but
they are questionable for the win.
The obvious horse that can run a 70 Beyer
today is the 7 horse. In his 3rd race back
he ran a 74, followed by a regression to a
66 and a recovery to a 72.
This is the most common speed figure pattern
that will indicate a strong next out
performance is possible. You won't find it in every race,
and when you do the horse that displays it
will not always run well.
But it is at times a "cycling" pattern that will
allow you to land on a value play and beat the
top figure horse.
The "cycling" pattern that you will get a better
look at in our actual race examples is basically
a 4 race cycle.
Strong race (high Beyer), regression (lower Beyer),
recovery (higher Beyer), and back to a good effort
The 7 horse in our example is likely to move
forward off his last out 72 and run somewhere
near his 3rd race back figure of 74. He is
the speed figure pick in this race.
And you would be surprised how often a horse
that displays this pattern will go off at a
If this horse ran 4th in his last outing, beaten 8
lengths, he could easily pay $12 or more in this
kind of a match up.
After the running of the 10th race at Aqueduct
on Saturday April 19th, I was not a happy
camper; quite the opposite. I was screaming at
myself for not paying attention to what I have
just been discussing.
And I'm sure there were a number of you who
receive my daily picks by email who were pretty
annoyed also, even though you would have had to
look long and hard to find anyone who came up
with any of the top 3 finishers, which produced
a trifecta that topped $16,000.
This painful experience led to this month's
When I handicapped this race on Friday morning,
I was well aware of the intense bias in favor
of early speed that existed on the Aqueduct
main track since it opened on March 21st.
From that date through Saturday April 12th there
had been 37 races run out of the chute at the
1 turn mile distance of the finale on Saturday
26 of those 37 races, a fat 70%, had been won by
horses that were on the lead or second and
within one length of the lead at the top of
the stretch. And 21 of them had the outright lead.
That's what you call speed bias evidence. And
it was there for 6F and 7F sprints as well.
So how did I foul up the 10th race that Saturday?
Here were the last 3 Beyers for the 11 horses
that ran in that race, ending with the last
1. 87, 70, 78
2. 70, 55, 80
3. 49, 60, 66
4. 46, 56, 55
5. 81, 88, 96
7. 75, 68, 80
9. 68, 69, 67
10. 74, 80, 63
11. 72, 77, 74
12. 71, 55, 77
13. 63, 73, 83
I had identified this as a pace shape with
4 early runners in a field of 11. A situation
that at least slightly favored early speed on
a track and at a distance that was proven to
strongly favor that running style.
My order of speed was: 2-9-11-12.
On a speed biased track like this, in order to play
a horse with an outside post position, he had
better have at least some semblance of early
As far as Beyer speed figures are concerned,
the 5 horse jumps off the page, and it did
to me when I first saw Go Rockin' Robin.
This was what I call a Double Play horse,
who had the best last out Beyer of 96 along
with the best last out final fraction of
24 flat (adjusted down by two 5ths because of
having last run at a 2-turn mile and 1/8th
And as I said in my analysis for that race,
he had just run a very strong final 3/8ths in
37 flat when 2nd to the horse who went on to
run 3rd in the Wood Memorial!
How could he lose this race!?
He never lifted a hoof and finished way, way
back completely off the board as the even
Go Rockin' Robin bounced into oblivion off
his 2 consecutive lifetime best Beyers,
including his last huge 96, which was 8
points higher than his previous race top.
This horse demonstrates the bounce
phenomenon to a tee. And he also is a very
good example of a horse that simply looks
too good on paper to not be our top
He looked unbeatable. And he beat 4
in the field of 11.
In 20-20 hindsight, Go Rockin' Robin should
have been considered a bounce candidate,
and one that should bounce a great deal off
his last out much the best lifetime
It was almost like he had to bounce.
I was well aware of that, but calculated
that he could bounce and still win.
I underestimated the power of the bounce. It
was like a pro tour golfer shooting a 61 on
Saturday. What would he be expected to
shoot on Sunday? Certainly 70 or above.
And Go Rockin' Robin shot an 85.
Much to my dismay and the dismay of any
who played that race like I did.
The target Beyer figure for that race
should have been around 80, and the top speed
horse #2 Jelly Roll Romp had just run
an 80 with an 80 and 86 showing in his
6th and 7th races back.
The speed biased racetrack held him up
on the lead, which he assumed after
4 furlongs being close up before that,
and he jogged home 3 1/4 lengths in
front at $61.00, 9 lengths ahead of
Go Rockin' Robin.
One of the other speeds ran 3rd, #12
($16,600 tri.), and the 2nd place finisher
was #3 ($710 ex.). I had underlined the big
95 Beyer this one had run at a 1 turn mile
at Belmont Park the previous June,
but did not think he could improve
enough to run an 80 in this spot off his
last 3 poor outings.
This is another point to remember
when examining speed figures. If
a horse has met or better yet
exceeded the target figure for
today's race anywhere in his p.p.'s
showing, he deserves a long look.
The $273,000 superfecta was completed
by the 1 horse.
Now I'll get on to a few other real life
examples of how looking for Beyer speed
figure patterns can uncover value plays.
The 3 races I will show below as examples
of how the Beyer speed figures can point us
toward winning plays all took place on Saturday
They were races 1, 2, and 5 on the Aqueduct program, a
few hours before Empire Maker was to do his thing
in the Wood Memorial.
The fact that Aqueduct's main track had been
playing to early speed as well as the sloppy
conditions that day certainly had me
thinking in terms of close to the pace
runners as I scanned the entries for each
Race 1 was a maiden special weight event for
3 year old New York state breds. They were
all trying 7F for the first time except the
7 horse, which had run 5th in his last at that
You can view and/or print the p.p.'s for this race by
And the results chart is here.
Let's begin by identifying the top last out
Beyer horse, and you can scratch out #8 Kings
Temper, a late defection.
My big red check mark was above the 58 earned
by #5 Sea Trade in his last speed and fade try
at this level when going a mile and 70 yards
around 2 turns on the Inner in his 2nd lifetime
What Beyer speed figure could we have expected
this horse to run in this race?
Since Sea Trade had jumped from a prior figure
of 30 to his last out 58, we could certainly
think that a regression was in order.
But how much since he was a 3 year old with only
2 races lifetime? Since he was cutting back from
showing good early speed in his last at that 2
turn route, I expected him to be competitive in
this match up, and I made 54 the target figure for
How much of an advantage was that 58 figure over
the other last out Beyers? As we can see in the
past performances, the next best was 53 earned
by #2 Glory Be To Winloc, a 5 point edge in favor
of the top fig earner.
The next question is which are the contenders
and which are the entries that according to the
speed figure projections are not at this time
capable of reaching the target mark of 54?
Since #1 Dixie Bourbon had 3 tries lifetime
with Beyers of 36, 56, 41, he could not be
excluded with that 56 figure he recorded in his
prior when going 6F on the Inner dirt track.
#2 Glory Be To Winloc had already shown on 2
occasions that he could run fast enough to
earn Beyers of 60 and 61, both well above our
#3 Dixie Preacher was a first time starter going
with lasix and with no speed figures to compare
was a question mark, as are all such debut
runners. I tossed him based on his works and
his trainer's mark of 15% with first timers.
Any percentage, be it trainer, jockey or any
other under around 17% is not worthy of
consideration of being strong in my opinion, and
I was not going to use this horse. If he beat
me, I would move on, but with no evidence to make
me think he was going to put in a good effort, I
had to pass on him.
#4 John's Jet showed a first outing Beyer of 65
6 races back as well as 57 and 53 figures in his
3rd and 2nd races back respectively.
#6 Machinegunmoutandy's 38 Beyer and lone past
performance eliminated him from contender status.
Off his 2 lifetime starts showing Beyers of 41 and
40, #7 Emmet Square off did not figure to move
forward enough to contend for a target of 54. This
despite him being treated for lasix for this and
also being what I call a Profile/W.O. play.
#9 Shamrock Cat had not run since his first race
lifetime back in June of 2002 when he earned a 37
and was placed on the non-contender list.
#10 Stars Aligned's last out 47 Beyer made him a
possibility if he could be thought of having a
chance to move forward a few points.
#11 Snorzalot was another first time starter who
So which horses are on the final contender list?
The prime contenders in order are #2 Glory Be To
Winloc and #5 Sea Trade.
Periphery plays, or horses I think can get a part
of the exotic plays, but are not strong candidates
for the win (which however on occasion do fool me
and win the race) are #'s 1, 4, and 10.
That's 5 preliminary contenders from the field of
10 using the Beyer speed figure analysis I've been
I made #2 Glory Be To Winloc my top choice by far.
Do you know why? The answer is that this horse had
just exhibited the "cycling" pattern that I spoke of
He ran a top of 60 in his 3rd race lifetime, 5 races
back. That was followed by a bounce or regression
down to 38, and a recovery in his next to a 47.
He then completed the cycle with a new top of only
one point higher than his prior top, a 61 when he
Then he regressed in his last to a 53, but that was
just about right on the target figure. Was he likely
to bounce badly off that try? I certainly didn't
think so since he had already run a 60 and 61.
What really made this one stand out above all the
others was his last out WIR/W.O. move (as described
in my book "Calibration Handicapping - The Next Level",
details of which you can check out by clicking here)
made when going a mile and 70 yards around 2 turns.
Shortening up to 7F for this try made him look very
strong in this match up. The price was the only
question, and final odds of 7-2 were good value in my
I thought #5 Sea Trade was the obvious 2nd choice
off his last out 5-point Beyer edge. He as well as
my top pick and #10 showed good early presence in their
last tries, and were considered good possibilities for
2nd or 3rd on the speed biased racetrack that was also
sloppy for this first race on the card.
Since I saw a standout in race 2, and the D/D with
Glory Be To Winloc was okay, I made that play
I then played #2 to win with these exotic plays:
Exactas: 2-5 for 10 units and 5-2 for 4 units
Trifectas: 1 unit on 2-5/2-5-10/1-2-4-5-10, and
1 unit on 2/5/1-4-10.
If the unit of play is $1, the cost of these exotic
plays were: $10 and $4 for the exactas, and $12 and
$3 for the trifectas or a grand total of $29.
My solid 1-2 picks were obviously the 2 and 5 horses.
The reason I used only the 10 horse in addition to
those in the 2nd slot of the first trifecta wager
was because not only did he have some early speed,
but he had also just cycled all the way back to
one point above his old top of 46.
His 46, 28, 35, 47 figures demonstrated the top,
regress, recover and run well pattern. The question
was did he have room to move forward off that new
top of 47, and I thought he did while the others,
#'s 1 and 4 were somewhat more suspect of doing so.
As per the results chart, the payoffs were:
2. $9.70 with a 52 Beyer
5. 2nd - 2-5 Ex. $45.60 - 48 Beyer
10. 3rd - 2-5-10 Tri. $449.00 - 45 Beyer
Here was a unique case in which there was very good
value to be had by keying on the first and second best
last out speed figure horses. And the third best
completed the $449 trifecta.
Race 2 that Saturday was narrowed down to a field
of 7 with the late scratch of #7 Max O Max, who
figured to have gotten a good bit of play in this
match up had he run.
You can view and/or print the p.p.'s for this race by
And the results chart is here.
Suffice it to say that odds on 4-5 favorite #6
Threat Of Victory looked like a strong play in
He was in the midst of a very nice looking "cycle"
Beyer speed figure pattern. He earned a recent
fast track top of 90 three races back, regressed
to a 72, and then recovered to an 83, which was
the top in this field by 5 points.
Could he have been expected to move forward off
that 83? Absolutely, with the 90, 92, and 94
figs showing in his last 12 outings. If he moved
forward at all, the others would in all likelihood
be running for 2nd money. And he looked like the
speed of the speed.
Which were the other contenders?
If the target Beyer for this race was estimated
to be 85, there were 4 others in here that
could have been considered to at least have a shot
at 2nd or 3rd.
You would have to go back a bit to see that #1 Call
Leo earned an 84 in his 4th race lifetime, but his
last 2 outings were not real sharp, having finished
last by 38 1/4 lengths in his last and 6th of 8 in
his prior by 18 lengths.
#2 Mr. Kipp showed an 85 three races back when out
gunning Threat Of Victory to the front but finishing
3rd to that one on a muddy Belmont main track.
#3 Royal Ruby showed an 86 followed by an 88 in his
4th and 3rd races back, but was spotting his rivals
valuable real estate with a very late closing running
#5 Rich Coins had run the next best last out Beyer
speed figure of 78 when finishing 4th by one length,
and had an 86 showing in his p.p.'s. You could say
he was "cycling" to an extent himself, having run an
80 Beyer 3 back, then regressing slightly to a 76, and
recovering in his last to that 78. As things turned
out, he did move forward and earned another 80 in his
good off the pace try here.
Each of these contenders had exhibited the potential
to reach today's target figure of 85, and each had
varying strong points to be considered, some recent
and some shown in races run further back in the p.p.'s.
Since my first choice exacta of 6-5 and 2nd choice
exacta of 6-3 were not paying much, and I had a decent
Daily Double going with #6 Threat Of Victory, I passed
I was sorry afterward, however, when the trifecta paid
A simple trifecta part-wheel play of 6/2-3-5/2-3-5 for
$2 and a $12 outlay got a return of the full payoff.
As per the results chart, the payoffs were:
6. $3.60 with an 84 Beyer
5. 2nd - 6-5 Ex. $12.60 - 80 Beyer
2. 3rd - 6-5-2 Tri. $110.50 - 75 Beyer
Race 5 on the Wood Memorial undercard featured another
great looking cycling horse in the 7 entry field
(after the late scratches of #'s 1, 1A & 9) going a mile
and an 8th at the non winners of 2 races lifetime allowance
level, now on a track labeled muddy.
You can view and/or print the p.p.'s for this race by
And the results chart is here.
Why not look over this field and see what you come
up with as the top contender and the secondary
contenders to be considered in the wagering construction
The top last out Beyer figure was the 96 earned by
#2 Looking Around. Should we have expected a move
forward for him, or a more likely regression to
Considering that he had just run 2 consecutive lifetime
tops of 84 and 96, a regression seemed the more
likely of the 2 options.
Because of that estimation and the fact that the next
best Beyer fig was 91 earned by #4 Dr. Rockett, I made
the target figure 90.
Which of these 7 had the capability of running fast
enough to be credited with that figure?
Obviously, #2 Looking Around was in the mix of top
contenders, the main question being how far would he
regress downward off that 96.
If you landed on #3 Awesome Time as the horse that was
set up for a top effort in this match up, congratulations!
You have not only been paying attention, but you understand
the "cycle" Beyer speed figure pattern.
His 5 lifetime Beyers were: 66, 80, 83, 66 and 79. Since
this was a 2-turn mile and an 8th race, it was significant
that his best 3 figures were earned around 2 turns.
He reached a top of 83 in his 3rd race, regressed in his
next to a 66, recovered to a 79 in his last, and was set
up to go forward in this try. He along with #'s 2, 4, and
8 had qualified as Red Scan plays as per the Red Scan
Qualifying Technique that I devised, which is detailed in
Although #3 Awesome Time would have to move forward by
a good 8 points from his previous top, with that cycling
pattern working for him as well as a likely bounce coming
from the 7-point last out Beyer advantage horse, who
projected to be odds on, he could have been expected to
come close to the target figure of 90.
#4 Dr. Rockett had taken 8 races to complete his cycle
back to a top of 91. As a horse that figured to be well
off the pace in this spot, the best I could expect from
him would be a Beyer around 85 and a 2nd or more likely
a 3rd place finish.
#5 Subordinate's Lad had been claimed out of his last
75 Beyer effort, which was preceded by a lifetime best
of 80. His prior 8 outings were in the low 60's range,
and he did not look like he could get up to a 90 here.
#6 Make My Millenium showed a top of 79 way back in
his 9th prior race, and hadn't shown anything much
#7 Winged Foot Willie had never taken a step backward
in his 5 lifetime races, with Beyers of 65, 66, 74, 77
and a last out graduation fig of 85. How far could he
go without a regression? I didn't think he would move
forward in his first try against winners, returning to
a track at which he ran his first two tries with Beyers
of 65 and 66.
#8 Runaway Russy was another story. His 6 lifetime
Beyers were: 56, 52, 70, 78, 75 and 77. He had a different
look as a last out maiden breaker.
Not only was he a good looking cycling horse, but he was
also what I call a T/M play, which would help his cause
as a closer on the speed favoring track.
He reached a top of 78 three races back, regressed to a
75, and then recovered to a 77. While he had to make a
pretty sizeable jump forward to compete with the top
few contenders in here, off those strong points, the
T/M status, and the cycling pattern, he had to be put
on the short contender list, most likely to get a minor
The results chart showed the following payoffs:
3. $10.60 with an 91 Beyer
2. 2nd - 3-2 Ex. $29.40 - 89 Beyer
8. 3rd - 3-2-8 Tri. $227.00 - 79 Beyer
April 12th 2003 at Aqueduct happened to be a unique
day with 3 of the first 5 races on the card in which
careful analysis of the Beyer speed figures led to the
clear winners of each, with the exactas and trifectas
of all 3 well within the realm of possibility.
Although this may be more of a rarity than commonplace
to have 3 such situations set right up for us in a span
of 5 races, if you add to your handicapping arsenal the
utilization of Beyer speed figures as shown and discussed
in this 8th free issue of Horseracing Info Newsletter, you
will for sure come across some nice value situations of
your own in the near future.
For the free selections I post each racing
day on my private web page for subscribers to this
newsletter, you can bookmark this web page:
Or you can click here.
Until Saturday June 7, 2003, I wish you Fair
Skies and Fast Tracks.
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